Amare Wubishet Ayele

1. Full Name: Amare Wubishet Ayele (Ayele, A. W.)
2. Academic Rank: Assistant Professor (Statistics)
3. Institutional email: amare_wubishet@dmu.edu.et
4. Google scholar/ORCID address/Scopus/WoS:

-ORCID address :  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8644-7257

-Google scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=F5ySrPMAAAAJ&hl=en

5. Specialization: Statistics
6. Courses taught: I have taught various statistics courses, including Categorical Data Analysis, Regression Analysis, Statistical Inference, Time Series Analysis, Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Statistical Quality Control, Statistical Computing I, Introduction to Probability Theory, Statistical Theory of Distribution, and Biometry, among others.
7. Achievements and awards:

• 2020‑2021: ARES Scholarship Award, Belgium

8. Research interest: I am passionate about cutting-edge statistical methodologies and innovative real-world applications in public health, epidemiology, economics, and related fields. My specific interests lie in contributing to data-driven research involving big data, machine learning (ML), time-to-event analysis, longitudinal data analysis, time series analysis, epidemiological modeling, and spatial data analysis.
9. List of Publications:
10. Ayele, A. W., Ewinetu, Y., Delesho, A., Alemayehu, Y., & Edemealem, H. (2025). Prevalence and associated factors of multidimensional poverty among rural households in East Gojjam zone, northern Ethiopia: A community-based cross-sectional study. BMC Public Health, 25(1), 167. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-024-18050-2
11. Ayele, A. W. (2025). Prevalence and associated factors of access to improved sanitation facilities among households in Ethiopia: Evidence from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey. SAGE Open, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241229345
12. Ayele, A. W., Gabreyohannes, E., & Tesfay, Y. Y. (2017). Macroeconomic determinants of volatility for the gold price in Ethiopia: The application of GARCH and EWMA volatility models. Global Business Review, 18(2), 308–326. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150916668600
13. Ayele, A. W., Kassa, M., Fentahun, Y., & Edmealem, H. (2020). Prevalence and associated factors for rural households food insecurity in selected districts of East Gojjam zone, northern Ethiopia: Cross-sectional study. BMC Public Health, 20, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-020-8286-6
14. Ayele, A. W., Gabreyohannes, E., & Edmealem, H. (2020). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic model to examine silver price volatility and its macroeconomic determinant in Ethiopia market. Journal of Probability and Statistics, 2020(1), 5095181. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/5095181
15. Getie Ayaneh, M., Dessie, A. A., & Ayele, A. W. (2020). Survival models for the analysis of waiting time to first employment of new graduates: A case of 2018 Debre Markos University graduates, northwest Ethiopia. Education Research International, 2020(1), 8877504. https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8877504
16. Ayele, A. W., & Derseh, A. B. (2024). Sustainability time and its determinant factors of small and medium-scale enterprises in East Gojjam zone: Parametric survival regression model. Global Business Review, 25(3), 656–682. https://doi.org/10.1177/09721509221074534
17. Amare, W. A., Zewdie, M. A., & Bayko, T. (2020). Modeling and forecasting the global daily incidence of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): An application of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. International Journal of Public Health and Safety, 5(6).
18. Debie, E., & Ayele, A. W. (2023). Perceived determinants of smallholder households’ resilience to livelihood insecurity in Goncha District, Northwest highlands of Ethiopia. SAGE Open, 13(3), 21582440231184861. https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440231184861
19. Ayele, A. W., & Zewdie, M. A. (2017). Modeling and forecasting Ethiopian human population size and its pattern. International Journal of Social Sciences, Arts and Humanities, 4(3), 71–82.
20. Zewdie, M. A., Wubit, G. G., & Ayele, A. W. (2018). G-STAR model for forecasting space-time variation of temperature in northern Ethiopia. Turkish Journal of Forecasting, 2(1), 9–19.
21. Ayele, A. W., & Derseh, A. B. (2020). Challenges that hinder the sustainability of small and medium scale enterprises in East Gojjam Zone, Northern Ethiopia. International Journal of Development Research, 10(7), 37926–37934.
22. Ayele, A. W. (2020). Determinant factors of food security among households in northern Ethiopia: An application of binary logistic regression model. Journal of Global Economics, 8(4), 7.

• Research and project information (completed and ongoing): Research projects as a leading researcher, including studies on food insecurity, poverty, and the sustainability of small and medium enterprises, funded by Debre Markos University, have been completed. Final reports have been submitted to the relevant offices and the College of Science, and the findings have been published in accredited journals.
• MSc and/or PhD students advised (ongoing and Graduated):